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Digit Preference Bias

Also Known As: Terminal Digit Preference Rounding Bias End-Digit Preference
Statistical Error ID: digit_preference_bias

Definition

Digit preference bias occurs when observers systematically round measurements to preferred numbers, typically those ending in 0 or 5. This seemingly minor habit can have significant consequences when rounding pushes values across diagnostic or treatment thresholds, distorting prevalence estimates and clinical decisions.

Examples

A nurse recording blood pressures rounds readings to the nearest 10 mmHg. A true reading of 138/88 is recorded as 140/90, pushing the patient above the hypertension threshold. Across a population study, this inflates the apparent prevalence of hypertension.

A field epidemiologist recording ages of patients during a disease outbreak in a region without reliable birth records finds a suspicious spike in reported ages of 30, 35, 40, and 45, with almost no one reporting ages like 31, 33, 37, or 42. The apparent age-disease relationship is distorted because local interviewers are rounding to the nearest five years.

A researcher analyzing self-reported body weights from a large health survey notices that weights cluster heavily at 140, 150, 160, and 170 pounds with far fewer entries at 143, 157, or 163 pounds. This rounding compresses the true weight distribution and skews calculations of average BMI and obesity prevalence across the sample.

Verification Steps
Verification Steps
Binary yes/no questions that an AI must answer to detect a reasoning pattern in a text.
Each of the 452 aspects has verification steps — simple yes/no questions designed to systematically detect whether a pattern appears in a text. For ad hominem: "Does the argument attack a person rather than their claim?" For false dichotomy: "Are only two options presented when more exist?" This ensures consistent, reproducible analysis.

Binary (yes/no) questions an LLM must answer to identify this aspect:

  1. 1

    Does the data show an unusual concentration of values ending in certain digits (0, 5)?

    Type: binary
  2. 2

    Were measurements recorded by human observers rather than automated instruments?

    Type: binary
  3. 3

    Could rounding have shifted measurements across a clinically meaningful threshold?

    Type: binary
  4. 4

    Was the digit distribution analyzed to detect rounding patterns?

    Type: binary
Deep Dive
The expandable detail section on each aspect page with examples, psychology, and counter-strategies.
The Deep Dive section provides in-depth information about each aspect: a real-world example showing the pattern in action, an explanation of why it works psychologically, practical advice on how to counter it, alternative names, and links to related aspects.

Hierarchical Context